Blackjack Odds & Probabilities

There are an awful lot of Blackjack players that take the game very seriously. Blackjack odds have been scrutinized extensively because the game is a game of odds that can be determined with some degree of accuracy. The best Blackjack players do not concentrate on winning each and every hand, instead they determine their actions by knowing what the probable outcomes will be.

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In reality, Blackjack is a game of skill that can be played expertly. You do however, have to know the mathematical probabilities if you wish to become a skilled player who tends to beat the house on more occasions than not.

The table below gives you a generalization of your chances of going over 21 or having a bust when you hit. It is a simple chart, but you may be very pleasantly surprised at how helpful it is at assisting you in beating the house.

One of the aspects of the game of Blackjack that works in your favor is the fact that the dealer must hit when he has specific hands, which makes the probability of him busting good. As more players learn the odds and are winning more frequently, it brings up the question as to how a casino can turn a profit in the game. The answer to that question is this: the house edge or advantage is created because the dealer does not play his hand until every player has taken their turn. The players who bust are out. Once this occurs, the dealer plays his hand and if he busts, the players left in the game who did not bust, win.

Below is a chart that shows you the probability of busting that the dealer faces. Take notice that the worst cards for him are the 5, 6 and 4. This is why you should double down more frequently when he has those three cards showing.

So, the one simple fact that the casino makes its money from those players who bust and lose their money right away, is what gives the house the advantage or edge. In Blackjack, the edge is much lower than it is in other casino games, and this is why the game is so wildly popular.

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